Overlapping Probability Calculator

Calculate the probability of overlapping events with our advanced probability tool

Event A

%

Event B

%

Probability Results

P(A and B)
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Probability both events occur
P(A or B)
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Probability either event occurs
P(A given B)
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Conditional probability

Enter probabilities to see interpretation of results.

Visualization

A
B
P(A)
0%
P(B)
0%
P(A∩B)
0%

📊 Probability Rules Reference

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Union Rule

P(A∪B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A∩B)

For P(A)=30%, P(B)=40%, P(A∩B)=12% → P(A∪B) = 30 + 40 - 12 = 58%

Independent Events

P(A∩B) = P(A) × P(B)

For P(A)=30%, P(B)=40% → P(A∩B) = 0.3 × 0.4 = 12%

Mutually Exclusive

P(A∩B) = 0

P(A∪B) = P(A) + P(B)

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Conditional Probability

P(A|B) = P(A∩B) / P(B)

If P(A∩B)=12%, P(B)=40% → P(A|B) = 12 / 40 = 30%

🌍 Real-world Probability Examples

Scenario: Disease with 2% prevalence (P(A)), test with 95% accuracy (P(B|A) = 95%, P(¬B|¬A) = 95%)

Calculation: P(A∩B) = 0.02 × 0.95 = 1.9% (true positive)

Interpretation: Even with a positive test result, the actual probability of having the disease depends on prevalence.

Scenario: 30% chance of rain (P(A)), 60% chance of clouds (P(B)), with 25% chance of rain when cloudy (P(A|B))

Calculation: P(A∩B) = P(A|B) × P(B) = 0.25 × 0.6 = 15%

Interpretation: There's a 15% chance of both rain and clouds occurring together.

Scenario: System with two independent components each with 90% reliability (P(A)=P(B)=90%)

Calculation: P(A∪B) = 0.9 + 0.9 - (0.9×0.9) = 99% system reliability

Interpretation: The system has a 99% chance of working if at least one component must work.

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Note: This calculator provides probability estimates based on standard probability theory. Real-world probabilities may vary based on additional factors not accounted for in these calculations.